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Pick from the Pros thread. NFL Sunday!
Pick from the Pros thread. NFL Sunday!
Post by Johns1124 В» Sun Jan 03, 2021 7:44 am.
Al DeMarco Indianapolis.
Big Al McMordie NY Giants.
Bob Valentino Minnesota.
Brad Wilton Baltimore.
Chris Jordan Jaguars/Colts Over 48.5.
Dwayne Bryant C SMU/Houston Under 136 A Giants/Cowboys Under 44.5.
Gus Augustine Arizona.
Jeff Ma Bengals Bears 49ers Eagles Giants.
Kenny White Buffalo -3 Miami/Buffalo Over 42.5.
King Creole E New Orleans/Carolina Over 47.5 C Atlanta/Tampa Bay Under C Dallas/NY Giants Under B Jacksonville/Indianapolis Under.
Kirby Maxwell Titans.
Mike Tierney Arizona pk LA Chargers -3.5 Washington -2 Minnesota/Detroit Under 54.5 Atlanta/Tampa Bay Over 50.5 Kansas City/San Diego Under 44.
Mitchell Newman Carloina.
Scott Delaney Teaser Arizona & New Orleans.
Sean Michaels Washington.
Steve Budin Teaser Colts & Titans.
Tom Stryker Giants Eagles.
Trace Adams Tennessee.
Wayne Root Panthers Eagles Giants.
Re: Pick from the Pros thread. NFL Sunday!
Post by Johns1124 В» Sun Jan 03, 2021 7:47 am.
Pick Made: Dec 28 2020 8:25PM PST.
HITMAN | NFL Side Sun, 01/03/21 - 4:25 PM 127 SEA -3.0 (-105) Bookmaker vs 128 SFX double-dime bet Analysis:
THIS IS A FIRST HALF BET.
I make this game Seattle -6 for the full game, but the reason we are playing the first half is because of uncertainty with how long Seattle will play their starters.
Pete Carroll has said Seattle will play their starters and shoot for the number one seed. However, if Green Bay or New Orleans gets up big in the second half, there is an outside chance Seattle could pull some starters.
Pick Made: Dec 29 2020 11:38AM PST HITMAN | NFL Side Sun, 01/03/21 - 4:25 PM 111 TEN -7.0 (-115) Pinnacle vs 112 HOU triple-dime bet.
It is often a mistake to assume rational coaching and organizational decisions. But we can all assume that the Houston Texans would be making a huge mistake to start Deshaun Watson against the Titans, and that they will think logically about it and sit their star quarterback.
Watson is dealing with an injury to his throwing arm, and from the information I have read, I believe it's more likely then not that Watson sits this one out. The Texans will be without their two starting offensive tackles for this game as well, further enticing the Texans to sit their star quarterback.
If Watson is 100% healthy, I make this line Titans -6.5. However, the matchups and motivation heavily favor the Titans. We have a top tier Titans offense going against a Texans defense that is in the discussion for the worst defense in the NFL. The Texans defense in their previous game against the Bengals allowed Brandon Allen and a previously lifeless Bengals offense to score 37 points and gain 7.6 YPP. No team in the NFL is worse aГѓgainst the run this season than Houston.
If Watson does not play, I have the Texans power rated in the Jaguars tier of ineptitude (Titans -11.5 would be my line)
Pick Made: Dec 30 2020 10:53AM PST.
HITMAN | NFL Side Sun, 01/03/21 - 1:00 PM 117 MIN -0.5 (-120) BetOnline vs 118 DET double-dime bet.
Analysis: The Rams defense matches up well against Kyler Murray. All season the Rams defense has limited mobile quarterbacks from running for big yardage, and Kyler Murray is one of the most run dependent quarterbacks in the NFL. Further complicating matters is the fact that Murray has a lower body injury that could impact his rushing ability. In Murray's previous matchup against the Rams, Murray threw for only 4.4 YPP despite completing a wide open 59 yard touchdown pass on his first throw due to a coverage bust.
The Cardinals offense is limited, and is dependent on Murray's rushing, and DeAndre Hopkins in the passing game. The Rams can shadow Hopkins with arguably the best cornerback in football in Jalen Ramsey.
As you can tell, I think the Rams defense can dominate this game. What about the Rams new quarterback John Wolford?
I will put my faith in Sean McVay as a play caller in this one. McVay has absolutely shredded the Cardinals during his tenure as the Rams head coach. McVay is 7-0 ATS against Arizona, and has won those games by an average of 21 points per game.
Wolford does have some mobility, and the Cardinals are 30th in the league in rushing yards allowed to opposing quarterbacks. Expect McVay to run the ball on a Cardinals defense ranked 26th in YPA allowed, and for McVay to run lots of bootlegs with Wolford.
Wolford just needs to not screw this game up, and cover a ugly, defensive battle. --------------------------------------------------------------------
================================ Marc Lawrence J GOY Denver C New York Giants =================== Circa Contest / Las Vegas - Top 5.
Daily Wager ESPN Best Bets.
Doug. Teaser cleve/tb Joe. rams Preston. pass Tyler. watson over 295.5 Anita. henry over 119.5.
Big Al totals 3 pack Colts game under Vikings game under Rams game over.
Jack Jones NFL Carolina Biggest Washington Atlanta Lowest.
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS @ CAROLINA PANTHERS ***** BEST BET on: OVER THE TOTAL Sunday, Jan. 3rd / 4:25pm ET / 1:25pm PT / #113-114 *Optimum OU line: 47.5 or less points.
Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers *** Play on: UNDER the TOTAL.
*Optimum OU line: 50.5 or more points Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants.
*** Play on: UNDER the TOTAL.
*Optimum OU line: 44.5 or more points.
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts ** Play on: UNDER the TOTAL.
*Optimum OU line: 49.5 or more points.
totals 3 pack Colts Under Vikings Under Rams Over.
3 pack Colts Eagles Broncos.
Justin Jefferson over 73.5 receiving yards -159 (0.75 units) Nick Chubb over 71.5 rushing yards -112 (0.5 units) Kyler Murray under 243.5 passing yards -112 (0.4 units) Kyler Murray under 37.5 rushing yards -112 (0.4 units) Davante Adams to score a TD -165 (0.5 units) D’Andre Swift over 52.5 rushing yards -112 (0.5 units.
HITMAN | NFL Side - Sunday, Jan 3 2021 4:25PM 111 TEN -7.0(-115) Pinnacle vs 112 HOU triple-dime bet.
Analysis: 2* Prop of the year: Justin Jefferson (MIN) O73.5 Rec Yds -110 (DK) Darren Waller (LV) O5.5 Receptions -155 (WHill) Derrick Henry (TEN) O118.5 Rush Yds -110 (DK) Mike Evans (TB) O66.5 Rec Yds -115 (MGM) Jalen Hurts (PHI) U210.5 Pass Yds -110 (Fanduel) Deshaun Watson (HOU) U293.5 Pass Yds -110 (Fanduel) Jonathan Taylor (IND) O83.5 Rush Yds -130 (MGM)
Gianni The Greek NFL Game: (109) Pittsburgh Steelers at (110) Cleveland Browns Date/Time: Jan 3 2021 1:00 PM EST Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: C% Play: Total Over 41.5 (-110)
109) Over 41.5 Pittsburgh-Cleveland…(C%) via Pinnacle.
NFL Game: (107) Dallas Cowboys at (108) New York Giants Date/Time: Jan 3 2021 1:00 PM EST Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: D% Play: Total Under 45.0 (-110)
108) Under 45 Dallas-NYG…(D%) via Pinnacle.
NFL Game: (103) Jacksonville Jaguars at (104) Indianapolis Colts Date/Time: Jan 3 2021 4:25 PM EST Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: C% Play: Total Under 49.0 (-110)
104) Under 49 Jacksonville-Indianapolis…(C%) via Bookmaker.
NFL Game: (113) New Orleans Saints at (114) Carolina Panthers Date/Time: Jan 3 2021 4:25 PM EST Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: D% Play: Total Under 49.0 (-110)
113) Under 49 NO-Carolina…(D%) via Draftkings.
NFL Game: (129) Las Vegas Raiders at (130) Denver Broncos Date/Time: Jan 3 2021 4:25 PM EST Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: C% Play: Total Under 51.0 (-110)
130) Under 51 LV-Denver…(C%) via William Hill-SPoint.
NFL Game: (113) New Orleans Saints at (114) Carolina Panthers Date/Time: Jan 3 2021 4:25 PM EST Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: D% Play: 113) New Orleans -ВЅ with 120) Tampa Bay -ВЅ : 6-Point Teaser.
113) New Orleans -½ with 120) Tampa Bay -½…(D%) 6-Point Teaser.
NFL Game: (101) Washington Football Team at (102) Philadelphia Eagles Date/Time: Jan 3 2021 8:20 PM EST Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: D% Play: Washington Football Team -130.
101) Washington ML (-130)…(D%) via Pinnacle.
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Pick from the Pros thread. NFL Sunday!
Pick from the Pros thread. NFL Sunday!
Post by Johns1124 В» Sun Dec 27, 2020 6:55 am.
Al DeMarco Chicago.
ATS G Ravens G Rams G Packers/Titans Over.
Ben Burns Providence -6 Houston/Cincinnati Over 44 Green Bay -3.
Best Sports Capper Drake -2.5.
Bill Marzano Milwaukee -12.5 Brooklyn -10.5 Clippers -5 Drake -2.5 Green Bay Over 53.5 Jets Under 44.5.
Bob Balfe Chicago/Jacksonville Over 47 Green Bay/Tennessee Under 55.5.
Bobby Valentino Kansas City.
Chris Jordan Packers.
Dave Essler C Colts/Steelers Under 45.
Elite Sports Picks Houston -7.5.
Gus Augustine Washington.
Harry Bondi E LA Rams C Pittsburgh C Tennessee.
Jack Brayman Pittsburgh.
Jim Feist J Washington/Carolina Under.
Joe Gavazzi E Steelers D Houston D Cleveland C Packers.
King Creole B Colts/Steelers Over 44 B Kansas City/Atlanta Over 54 B Houston/Cincinnati Over 46.
Kirby Maxwell Chargers.
Lenny Stevens Colts.
Micah Roberts Drake -3.5 Dallas Under 49.5 Green Bay Under 54.
Michael Crosson (VegasInsider) Celtics -120.
Midwest Capper Houston Texans -7.
Mike Barner Boston -2.
Mitch Newman Bears.
Sean Michaels Teaser Bears & Baltimore.
Steam Plays Carolina Jacksonville NY Jets Philadelphia Under Denver Under LA Rams Under Atlanta Under.
Stephen Oh Houston -7 hoops New Orleans -5.
Tony George G Drake.
Top Rank Sports D Philadelphia/Dallas Over 49.5 C Cincinnati/Houston Under 44.5 C Tennessee/Green Bay Over 54.5.
Trace Adams Green Bay.
VegasInsider NFL Totals Club Packers/Titans Over 53 Rams/Seahawks Over 47 Falcons/Chiefs Over 52.5 Colts/Steelers Under 43 Jaguars/Bears Under 47.
Warren Sharp Cleveland Browns Over 46.5.
Wayne Root NY Jets Denver Carolina NY Giants LA Rams.
Worlds Worst Picker Peabody’s pick Drake Take Indiana State.
Peabody’s pickChicago Bears Over TakeChicago Bears Under.
5 Star Baller Pittsburgh Steelers -1.
70% Computer Plays (The Swami) Philadelphia -3.
Re: Pick from the Pros thread. NFL Sunday!
Post by Johns1124 В» Sun Dec 27, 2020 6:59 am.
HITMAN | NFL Side - Sunday, Dec 27 2020 1:00PM 455 CLE -9.5(-110) Bookmaker vs 456 NYJ double-dime bet.
Analysis: Teams playing the following week off of a win as a ten point underdog are 33-64-3 ATS. The logic is simple: After a upset win of that magnitude, teams typically come back to earth and have a let down spot. There may be no bigger let down spot this season after the Jets finally can now breath a sigh of relief that they will not be going 0-16 this season.
Let's remember that this Jets team is still a historically bad team. Their only pro bowl caliber defensive player, Quinnen Williams, is now out for the season. Baker Mayfield is playing his best ball of the season, and he thrives against defenses that can not pressure him. The Jets were bottom five in most major pass rushing metrics, and that was with Williams.
When we bet against a team as bad as the Jets, typically we are getting negative power rating value, as the market is essentially begging for Jets money. I make this game Browns -10.5, giving us value going through a semi key number, and I love the matchup and situation for Cleveland! =========================================
HITMAN | NFL Total - Sunday, Dec 27 2020 1:00PM 465 IND / 466 PIT UNDER 45.0 Westgate double-dime bet.
HITMAN | NFL Total - Sunday, Dec 27 2020 1:00PM 465 IND / 466 PIT UNDER 45.0 Westgate double-dime bet.
Analysis: Christmas Props.
Alvin Kamara O45.5 Rec Yds -110 (MGM/WHill)
DeAndre Swift (DET) O24.5 Rec Yds -110 (DK) Kendrick Bourne (SF) U37.5 Rec Yds -110 (DK/WHill) DeAndre Hopkins (ARI) O6.5 Rec -140 (WHill)
HITMAN | NFL Side - Sunday, Dec 27 2020 1:00PM 464 HOU 0.0(-140) Westgate vs 463 CIN double-dime bet.
Analysis: 2* 7 PT TEASER: TB -2.5/HOU PK -140 (Consensus)
Short and sweet.
Detroit finds themselves in one of the worst situational spots of the season. The season is over, the day after Christmas, their opponent is motivated to lock in a playoff berth, and the Lions will not only be without their head coach and offensive play caller but will also be without their defensive play caller.
The Tampa offense has thrived all season when Brady has not been pressured, and only only can Detroit not pressure the quarterback, but they have multiple starting cornerbacks out for this game, who will now be asked to cover quite possibly the best pass catching group in the NFL. The Lions have allowed a TD a drive on 47% of their drives over the last month.
I am not buying the Bengals being able to win yet another game without Joe Burrow. Tyler Boyd is out with a concussion, and despite some people thinking the Bengals are now back able after last weeks performance, let me remind you that Ryan Findlay completed 7 passes against Pittsburgh. That game was more about Pittsburgh losing then the Bengals winning, and you won’t find many bigger quarterback mismatches then what the Bengals will be going up against in week sixteen.
==================================== HITMAN | NFL Side - Sunday, Dec 27 2020 4:05PM 469 CAR 8.0(-120) Westgate vs 470 WAS triple-dime bet.
Garry Costley's Coaching Trends NFL Game of the Year Total Play В· Under [459] San Francisco 49ERS vs. [460] Arizona Cardinals.
Doug: buffalo Joe: tenn/gb over Anita: parlay..montgomery td n chi win Preston: phil/dallas Over Tyler: henry over 22.5 rushing att.
a) Cle/Jets under 48 a) Gia/Bal 1H under 22 (alternate = full game under 44) ============================ ats 7 ravens 7 rams 7 ten over ==============
Sports Book Data - Looks like I owe you another play- Pregame King Creole Sports - c) OVER Atlanta / KC.
Jeff Ma- 38-35-3 record.
Steelers Patriots Seahawks jets.
Balfe Indy -1// pitt Over 47 chi-jx Under 55.5 gb-tn.
=============== 5-STAR Cincinnati and Houston UNDER 46 SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: HOUSTON 17, Cincinnati 10 ====================
CONS: 12/27/20 CBB G* #789 Take Drake -2.5 ov IndST.
Philadelphia Eagles -3.
Totals Titan' - OVER 53.5 - Tennessee - Green Bay.
Northcoast Newsletter Keys.
System Play : Atlanta over KC.
Over/Unders: B NYG/BAL Under A CHI/JAX Over.
MTI (from across the street)
Bengals - Texans - OVER 45.
===================== MFer Corp's NFL handicapping department 3 team 10 point teaser KC, KC over, Baltimore. $2500.
5* LA RAMS 3* PITTSBURGH 3* TENNESSEE =============
Re: Pick from the Pros thread. NFL Sunday!
Post by Gamblur В» Sun Dec 27, 2020 8:58 am.
WestGate SuperContest LEADERS 51 T.B LAC CLE IND BUF 48 L.V NYJ PIT SEA G.B 47*ARI DEN HOU PIT DAL 47*CIN WAS ATL LAR TEN 47 L.V PIT WAS DAL TEN 47 CIN IND PHI TEN BUF 46*L.V JAX CAR NYG K.C.
WestGate SuperContest CONSENSUS K.C SEA CLE MIA PIT T.B.
Circa MILLION LEADERS 50*MIA CIN IND WAS TEN 50 T.B LAC NYG SEA BUF 49*N.O T.B DEN CIN LAR 49*ARZ MIA CIN SEA G.B 49*NYJ CIN IND NYG SEA 49 T.B L.V JAX TEN BUF 48*S.F WAS LAR G.B N.E.
Re: Pick from the Pros thread. NFL Sunday!
Post by Johns1124 В» Sun Dec 27, 2020 12:36 pm.
John Rainey aka Rainman.
All Regular (1в†) Plays.
Gavazzi 5% Steamroller on the Steelers 4% Houston and Cleveland 3% Packers.
12/27/2020 1:00 pm est (nfl) baltimore vs. Ny giants spread pick: Baltimore -9.5 (-110) - risk 10 units.
12/27/2020 4:25 pm est (nfl) eagles vs. Cowboys total pick: Over 49.5 (-110) - risk 10 units.
Sports Picks Weekly Sunday, December 27th 2020.
NCAAB: *Drake -3 Southern Illinois -8 (-118)
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